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The one-line rule
Expect a lower tax rate in retirement → lean traditional. Expect a higher rate (early career, rising income, likely tax increases) → lean Roth. Unsure → split contributions between both.
Assumptions
- With the same pre-tax budget, Roth and traditional end equal when your tax rate now equals your rate in retirement; lower rate later favors traditional, higher favors Roth.
- Ignores required minimum distributions (traditional accounts only), state tax moves and early-withdrawal rules.
Frequently asked questions
Is Roth or traditional better?+
It mostly comes down to your tax rate now versus in retirement. Same pre-tax budget, same returns: if your rate later will be lower, traditional wins; if higher, Roth wins; if equal, they tie exactly.
Why do they tie when tax rates are equal?+
Multiplication order doesn't matter: paying 22% tax now and growing the rest gives the same result as growing everything and paying 22% later.
What else favors Roth?+
No required minimum distributions on Roth IRAs (and Roth 401(k)s since 2024), tax-free money that doesn't raise your taxable income in retirement (which can affect Medicare premiums and Social Security taxation), and tax diversification.
What does the 'same dollar amount' option do?+
If you max out an account, a Roth holds more after-tax money than a traditional account of the same size. This option contributes the same dollars to each and invests the traditional saver's tax savings in a taxable account.
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Last reviewed October 15, 2026. Calculator version 1.0.0. Results are estimates for educational purposes, not financial, tax or lending advice. How we check our numbers.